Tauhara Geothermal Energy Project: Economic Impacts from Construction & Operation for the Taupo DC, Waikato RC & New Zealand Economies. March 2021

Tairawhiti/Gisborne Region Economic Impacts of the Tairawhiti Redeployment Programme, December 2020


Impacts & Linkages for NZ's Primary Industries: Revenue & Employment Linkages from Horticulture, Dairy, Meat, Wine & Fishing Production to other NZ Sectors, November 2020

Port of Tauranga Limited: Wharf and Container Expansion 2020. September 2020


Hawkes Bay Horticultural/Vineyard Enterprise 2020. September 2020.


Hastings Infrastructure and Housing Development 2020. September 2020.

Economic Impacts from Te Mata Mushrooms Expanded Facilities in Hastings and the Central Hawkes Bay. May 2020.


Potential Economic Impacts of Proposed 'Kapiti Gateway' Tourism Facility. April 2020.

2019 Fieldays in New Zealand: Economic Impacts for the Waikato Region and New Zealand, October 2019.


Economic Impacts from Maori Tourism Developments in Central Hawkes Bay. April 2019.


Eastland Port in Gisborne: 2018 Impacts for the Gisborne Regional Economy. March 2019.


Economic Impacts from Napier City Developments. December 2018.


Impact Templates with Multipliers and Benefit/Cost Ratios for Punakaiki Developments. October 2018.

2018 Fieldays in New Zealand: Economic Impacts for the Waikato Region and New Zealand, October 2018.

National & Regional Economic Models for 2016: NZ, Kapiti Coast DC & Horowhenua DC. October 2017.

Economic Impacts for Options for Redevelopment of a Napier City Site: Premium Hotel, Office Block
& Retail Outlet, August 2017.

The Port of Tauranga Limited : Economic Impacts from Port Operations for the Bay of Plenty Region & New Zealand for the 2016 Year. May 2017

Economic Analysis of the Redevelopment of the National Aquarium of NZ. February 2017.


Impacts from Kiwifruit Growing & Marketing for 2016: Economic Impacts for the Bay of Plenty Region & New Zealand. December 2016.


Economic Impacts for the Mission Winery Residential Development. November 2016.

2016 Fieldays in New Zealand: Economic Impacts for the Waikato Region and New Zealand. October 2016.


Economic Impacts for the Hawke’s Bay Region from the Port Of Napier for the year ended September 2015

with Forecasts to 2025. June 2016.

Economic Impacts from Kiwifruit Growing and Marketing for 2016: Economic Impacts for the BOP Region and

New Zealand. December 2016.


Analysis of Gains for Central Hawke’s Bay from the Upper Tukituki Flood Protection Scheme. December 2015.

2015 Fieldays in Hamilton: Economic Impacts for the Waikato Region & NZ, September 2015.   


Economic Gains & Losses for Napier City & the Hawke’s Bay Region Resulting from a Truck Ban

on Marine Parade Napier, August 2015.


Update of REFINING  NZ  Economic Impacts for NZ in the December 2014 Year, July 2015.


Economic Impacts from an Infant Formula Plant in Hawke’s Bay, July 2015.


Economic Impacts for the Cape Kidnappers Golf Resort, April 2015.


Economic Impacts for the Art Deco Weekend for Napier & Hawke’s Bay in 2015, April 2015.


THE UNIVERSITY OF WAIKATO: Regional & NZ Economic Impacts for 2014, February 2015.


A Review of the Gisborne Regional Council Economy for 2014, January 2015.


Pipfruit Production & Sales in 2013: Regional Economic Reports for Hawke’s Bay, Tasman,

Central Otago & NZ, December 2014.


2014 Fieldays in Hamilton: Economic Impacts for the Waikato Region & NZ. August 2014.


An Economic Appraisal of the Gisborne Regional Economy: Comparative Economic Performance

versus Northland & NZ 2000 - 2013. August 2014.


The Economic Impacts Emanating from Napier City Attractions for the year ended June 2014. July 2014.


GDP Attributable to Hawke's Bay Primary Sectors for the year ended September 2014. July 2014.


Whangarei Growers Market: The Economic value for the Whangarei/Northland Economy. March 2014.


THE UNIVERSITY OF WAIKATO: Regional & NZ Economic Impacts for 2013. February, 2014.


Hawkes Bay District Losses Due to Local Government Centralisation. February, 2014.


2013 Fieldays in Hamilton: Economic Impacts for the Waikato Region & New Zealand. January, 2014.


Upper Tukituki Flood Protection Scheme: Benefit/Cost Estimates for the period 2012 - 2050. November 2013.


Parameters for Assessing Regional Impacts from Proposed Feature Events. July 2013


The Economic Impacts from France versus All Blacks in New Plymouth. July 2013.


Harbour Central Marine Precinct: Updated Impacts for a Reduced Scale 2013 Development. June 2013.


Economic Performance of the Western Bay of Plenty Region 1996 – 2012. March 2013


Economic Impacts of the Phoenix Football Club for Wellington City in 2012. March 2013.

Economic Analysis of the Franklin Local Board Economy in Auckland City. June 2013.








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Detailed Economic Modelling 

Assessing Probabilities of Unique Events: Calibrating Qualitative Likelihood Judgments into a Probability Distribution.

Chinese Business Review, Volume 9 Number 9 (Serial number 87), Sept. 2010, pages 54 - 60.

ABSTRACT: Multifaceted events in an organizational environment usually need to be assigned probabilities as a prerequisite to analytical decision-making. If the decision situation is unique, a lack of relevant historical frequency data may preclude use of traditional probability models such as the normal, binomial etc. In this case, an individual decision maker (DM) or an informed group of persons can input into a procedure as outlined here to determine a probability distribution that leads to expected values of alternative actions or fair values of securities. The individual or group member must decide qualitatively on the extent to which one event is "more likely" than another where both events are ranked adjacent (i.e. closest to each other) in terms of likelihood. Even though the individual or group members may lack experience in orthodox probability assessment, these pairwise "more likely" judgments are not overly demanding for persons familiar with the possible outcomes in the situation under analysis.

Full paper and latest update available below:

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